Month ending Oct 31, 2025 Last updated: November 4, 2025
Permanent job activity increased in October, a positive sign that hiring demand is strengthening. However, permanent fill rates declined this month after a longstanding upward trend. One reason could be that while job orders per recruiter have been increasing since August, there has also been a rise in submissions per job, suggesting clients are being highly selective in the hiring process.
For temporary jobs, activity has slowed this month, with the job volume index falling from 98 to 95. However, last month’s performance was particularly strong, so these numbers still outpace what we saw earlier this year. Temporary positions continue to outnumber permanent ones, a trend that’s remained consistent throughout 2025.
Overall, the outlook for permanent hiring is encouraging, but the temporary job market, which has been strong, may be leveling off.
Hiring outlook metrics were calculated from Bullhorn ATS data for customers that have opted in to share aggregated data. Customers were qualified as professional or commercial if the majority of their placements were within these industries. Temporary/contingent placements are those with a set end date; permanent/direct hire placements are those without.
Jobs orders per recruiter is calculated as the volume of job order records created divided by the unique number of users within the calendar month.
Job fill rate is calculated as the proportion of job order records that were placed within 90 days of their open date. This is a trailing indicator that covers jobs created three calendar months prior to the period.
Submissions per job order is calculated as the volume of client submissions divided by the volume of job orders in the period. This metric represents records created in the previous calendar month.