Are job orders going up or down? And what does it take to fill them? Each month, Bullhorn tracks key indicators from our proprietary data to reveal changes in the global hiring landscape. Check in at the start of every month for the latest trends in permanent and contract hiring.

Month ending 31 January 2026 Last updated 3 February 2026

Contract pipeline up in 2025

Contract pipeline is off to a strong start in 2026, with jobs up 6.1% year-over-year. Although CV sends rose slightly this month, they’re down 3% per job annually, perhaps reflecting the unexpected vacancy boost. Fill rate did decline this month, but the long-term trend continues its slow but steady upward trajectory. All of this signals a promising start to the year for contract.

Permanent placements saw an unexpected 5% drop in jobs year-over-year, after the last six months showed overall 2% annual growth. With recruiter effort also down, there appears to be less momentum to capitalise on the opportunities presented by the new year. Fill rate is up, suggesting that vital seats are being filled, but job activity has yet to show signs of recovery. Job growth coupled with a drop in coverage usually indicates an optimistic market, and contract roles often respond more quickly to this confidence. Hopefully perm begins to follow suit in the remainder of Q1.

Contract job activity up 6.1% from 2025

Fill rates stabilise but still rising over the last three years

Recruiter effort declines for perm, whilst contract recruiters fail to capture the job momentum

Methodology

Hiring outlook metrics were calculated from Bullhorn ATS data for customers that have opted in to share aggregated data. Customers were qualified as professional or commercial if the majority of their placements were within these industries. Temporary/contingent placements are those with a set end date; permanent/direct hire placements are those without.

Jobs orders per recruiter is calculated as the volume of job order records created divided by the unique number of users within the calendar month.

Job fill rate is calculated as the proportion of job order records that were placed within 90 days of their open date. This is a trailing indicator that covers jobs created three calendar months prior to the period.

Submissions per job order is calculated as the volume of client submissions divided by the volume of job orders in the period. This metric represents records created in the previous calendar month.

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